미중무역합의 결과는 2002년에 이미 나와 있다 역사는 반복되지만 우리는그것을 잊는다 미중무역전쟁

December 4, 2019 posted by


Hello, this is Fisher in Best Fisher After Trump signed Hong Kong Human Rights Law in the previous video While China strongly resisted I told you that the probability of trade And also when looking at political issues National pride Because it is an important variable China’s involvement in Hong Kong To cope with hardline If public opinion grows I explained it was the biggest problem. If the first agreement is wrong for the Chinese government, I don’t know that China’s economy is getting worse. Just as Trump signed human rights law Express a strong position this time There is also the possibility of choosing pride. Because the economy of both countries is sluggish In the long run, It is very likely that eventually it will be settled. Anyone can predict But in the short term, On the conclusion of the US-China trade agreement. Since it was impossible to predict, it was judged as 50-50. Among the many assets in the US and emerging countries Some of them profitable Watching the results and responding I explained that it is reasonable. But the realization of some revenue I have a negative outlook on the outcome of the trade agreement. There are many people who think Many questions about this Many people are curious today I think positively about the US-China trade agreement Or negatively And what are the reasons for portfolio response I’ll explain in detail First, let’s summarize the phenomenon of US-China trade agreement. The US first gave me sickness by signing the Hong Kong Human Rights Act. Additional tariffs on 32 items under negotiation I gave medicine while giving Overwhelmingly in the US House of Representatives In favor of the Hong Kong Human Rights Act Trump must do it alone Two-thirds vote in parliament Also in the upcoming presidential election President who ignores democracy and human rights Because ratings may decline Trump had no choice but to sign And instead withdraw some customs duties To conclude a trade agreement. Sending signals to China Analysis of the American press But the other day, the US government One of the key issues is Huawei Among the products produced in the US as well as overseas American technology entered Incapable of selling all products There are reports that we are reviewing regulations. The Chinese Communist Party’s People’s Daily, About the Hong Kong Human Rights Act of the United States Democracy strongly called false Made a condemning comment The US still has a key benefit of technological hegemony Make it clear that there is no intention to yield China has complained about this Can be seen as In this market, the first stage of negotiations The United States has suspended As a condition to exempt tariffs on some items China is American pork, etc. From $ 36 billion in agricultural products To buy an additional $ 14 billion It is expected to be settled. Of manufacturing companies in the US and China Can we reverse investor sentiment? On a slightly disappointing level There are many prospects that it will be settled. The current situation of the US-China trade dispute Market participants summarized their opinions For the prospects and responses to US-China trade negotiations Let me explain the details The outlook for the economy and stock market is closer to the humanities Humanities is about the way people think and act It’s a discipline to study Predicting economic flows and stock market movements The psychology and behavior of past people It is most reasonable to see the future Similar to the US-China trade dispute President George W. Bush in 2002 Safeguards are often mentioned Both Trump and George Bush are republicans. In the Rustbelt region, the Republican garden. Save for imports It is the same with the high tariff. Rustbelt is the northwestern region of the United States. Pennsylvania Ohio MI New York Etc Is the manufacturing hub of the United States. Safeguard was launched in March 2002. While Safe Guard was withdrawn last December 2003 Let’s look at the US stock chart. Generally speaking, December 2003 As soon as the safeguard is removed The economy may recover and the stock market may have surged, It’s not true in the past. Look at the chart The lowest point in the stock market due to Safeguard Early 2003 At this point, the rebound began in December 2003. When we heard that Safeguard was resolved The plunging stock market has already Safeguard started in 2002 It was beyond the high point of the time And after Safeguard was resolved at the end of 2003 A slight increase in the stock market is observed The sideways register will continue for a while. You may already have noticed Even in 2019, past thoughts and psychology Appears in a similar pattern We all buy stocks at the lowest point I want to sell stocks at the highest point. The lowest point in the stock market in early 2003 American safeguards are hardened As retaliatory tariffs such as Europe, the United States, Japan were realized, The global trade war is at its worst US Smooth Holly Customs Act during the Great Depression Global trade will cease, The global economy will fall by a negative 40%. It was time to come out to the view And even before being withdrawn at the end of 2003 US high tariffs are unfair at the WTO Despite the ruling, Maintain high rate taxation The situation is rarely resolved. It was invisible But when the stock market moves, The lowest point in the worst section. When people become heavy on bad news Stock Market Ride Rather Anxiety Wall We can see that And the news that all safeguards have been resolved In times of global spread It was already a point of sale, not a point of purchase. And then until 2007 The rise in the stock market has nothing to do with Safeguard It was a rise in the stock market following the global economic recovery. In 2002, we The psychology of the people I have confirmed the behavior So we are about to conclude the first phase of the US-China trade negotiations. You can try the situation and assignment now In 2002, Safeguard Started with US stock charts and Trump high tariffs in 2018 A chart of US-China trade disputes I’m showing you a comparison You can see that it’s quite similar. Tariffs during the Great Depression of the 1930s After the Smooth Holly Act Global gdp fell 40% Everybody remembers Since then, similar historical wars In the long run, negotiations will eventually be concluded. It has been finished And history generally repeats similarly We forget it easily So as in 2002, Since now, the US-China trade dispute will be resolved. Let’s invest with the idea from now on If you have invested what you do as a point of investment It’s already too late now. If you are going to invest with that investment idea, Like early 2003, US-China Trade Agreement Agrees at the beginning of 2019 Never be settled forever Predictive people are overflowing When the market is full of pessimism It was the buying timing of the low point. If you explain so far, you can see the past chart Who can’t say this? There must be someone telling me What I’m showing you right now I write to you Since last 2018, Continue to 2019 Safeguard started in 2002 and started in 2018. Comparing trade disputes These are the articles that explained when to invest. If you read the article, it will be in June 2018. I also made a comparison in July 2018 Even at the bottom of December 2018 Explaining the 2002 Safeguard Period If you invest in the possibility of a US-China trade dispute, Now is the time to buy These are the pictures I mentioned If you read the writings at the time, While talking the same thing If you’re going to invest, you have to invest when your pessimism overflows The section where the news is already announced Because it misses the opportunity for investment When the bad news overflows like now I have to buy a split I’ve been talking about it over and over again. And the end of 2018 The share of equity assets I adjusted from 40% to 60% Luckily we increased weight under the knee Until recently, the proportion has been maintained. This information is in the cafe and video It remains the basis. I didn’t mention it once or twice If you don’t believe it, you can find it. And there is another important thing Must be in 2002 Current stock market flows I will move the same in the future Is not to think Clearly, the stock market in 2019 Can you guarantee that it will be the same as 2003? Maybe someone asks me I will tell you in advance. We were Safeguard in 2002 I looked at the reason Lessons from people’s sentiment and behavior As a tool to predict the future To use it. Economic situation and US-China technological hegemony Because not all conditions are the same as in 2002 Of course, considering the current changes Is to see the future So the lesson of 2002 Now for the conclusion of the US-China trade agreement How to predict the future in 2019 How to Respond to an Investment Portfolio I’ll think about it After all too much content is boring Because you can’t see the video well I’ll explain after part two If you liked today’s video Subscribe and like by all means !! Press it Thank you for watching

46 Comments

46 Replies to “미중무역합의 결과는 2002년에 이미 나와 있다 역사는 반복되지만 우리는그것을 잊는다 미중무역전쟁”

  1. 김재기 says:

    💕👍

  2. 엄지형 says:

    좋은 내용 감사합니다!!

  3. FC L says:

    감사합니다.

  4. 시계리채 says:

    감사합니다!
    행복한하루 되시기 바랍니다!

  5. 윤오성 says:

    혹시 영상에 나오는 카페 주소 아시는 분 있으십니까!

    P.s 매번 좋은 영상 감사합니다

  6. 임현성 says:

    오늘도 차분한 설명 감사합니다. 확실히 주식이란건 모두가 두려워할 때 사는거죠.

  7. 한고은 says:

    맞습니다. 역발상투자를 해야 합니다. 오늘도 잘 봤습니다^^~

  8. 민양순양순 says:

    감사합니다

  9. 도희 says:

    늘 좋은 정보 감사드립니다^^ 조금이라도 보답드리고자 프리미엄 시청자인데 로그아웃 상태에서 광고를 시청하기도 합니다^^ 앞으로도 좋은 정보 부탁드립니다^^ 감사합니다^^

  10. Sunguk Shin says:

    돼지고기 조금만 더 수입하는군요. 어쩐지 돼지고기 투자했는데 조금밖에 안 오르더라니.

  11. 하자화이팅 says:

    수고에 감사드립니다 ~

  12. 한배식 says:

    항상 좋은정보 감사합니다…^^

  13. Q언니-[키작아도 승무원 되는 면접 꿀팁] says:

    항상 좋은 정보 감사합니다♥️

  14. Jung Hwan Seol says:

    항상 좋은 정보를 제공해주셔서 너무나 감사하게 생각하고 있습니다 🙂
    주변 지인분들께도 널리 알리겠습니다 🙂👍

  15. 삼성맨 박재영 says:

    제일 믿음이가는 방송이네요 너무감사합니다

  16. NOCTURN 9 says:

    좋은 접근, 좋은 내용…항상 갖는 느낌입니다. 잘 보고 갑니다.

  17. janny tu says:

    진짜 나만 알고 싶은 유튜버….. 오늘도 한 수 배우고 갑니다

  18. 신명류 says:

    항상 잘듣고 있습니다 ~ 첨언을 좀더 하자면 세이프가드 철회되기전부터 올라서 철회되고 상승하진 않았지만 횡보한뒤에 실적장세장에 세이프가드 철회됨으로써 무역이 활성화되서 그렇게 된것도 있다는점을
    너무 배재했네요 ~ 세이프가드 철회후 실적장세가 왔든 무역전쟁종료로 인한 실적장세ㅡ진입가능성도ㅜ있어 보입니다

  19. 모든사람들이행복하기를 says:

    아씨 국익을 위해선 둘 다 화해하는게 맞지만….

    중국이 망했음 좋겟고…….

    어우 어렵다 어려워

  20. 북벌 says:

    지표상으로미국경기는 호황기인데

  21. 김태경 says:

    감사합니다.^^

  22. h Speculater says:

    👏👍👍

  23. ᄋᄋ says:

    역시 제일 유익한 채널

  24. 감자탕 says:

    좋은 내용 감사드립니다!

  25. 믿음과신념 says:

    감사합니다 좋아요 누르고 광고도 끝까지봤습니다

  26. 톡킹신상훈 says:

    저도 주식의 주도 모르는데 님의 영상보고 변액펀드를 미국 주식위주로 바꿨는데 연간 수익을 30%가까이 얻었어요.. 감사합니다.

  27. yeob huh says:

    감사합니다

  28. Old boy says:

    위기가 곧 기회다! b.

  29. 눈꽃Snowflake says:

    2부 어딧죠?

  30. 김사랑 says:

    감사합니다~

  31. YJ S says:

    CLO도 고려해야 하지 않나요? 언제 터질지 모르는 일인데…

  32. 김유진 says:

    피셔님 영상은 하나도 빠짐없이 시청하고 있습니다. 경제위기가 와도 피셔님 영상만 있으면 미리 대비 할 수 있을거 같아요 .
    항상 감사합니다~~

  33. 간단히말함 says:

    정보의홍수시대 단순명료한 강의감사합니다

  34. C J says:

    참 좋은내용이네요 감사합니다

  35. 육봉달키움 says:

    지하도  기회고  꼭지도 기회고 .. 잘보앗습니다    감사합니다

  36. 이오호호하호하허햐 says:

    한국장은… 답이없는건가요 ㅠㅠ

  37. 하늘큰활 says:

    몇 달 동안 너무나 논리적인 말씀 잘 듣고 있습니다… 말씀 새겨 듣고 열심히 공부하고 성실히 시장을 지켜 보겠습니다… 감사합니다…

  38. 김9라 says:

    쌩쓰합니다

  39. 풍요로운대지 says:

    좋은 내용 감사합니다.

  40. 이서윤 says:

    감사합니다 ~♡

  41. 인생을누리봄 says:

    요즘들어 매영상마다 고정적으로 비추하시는 26명은 포트폴리오 아작나시길 바랍니다…

  42. 부자1조 says:

    결국 결과론적인 애기죠.

  43. minsoo choi says:

    항상 잘 보고있습니다. 많은 도움이 되고있습니다. 감사합니다.

  44. 예지몽 says:

    중국이 망하는게 좋지만ᆢ개인들도 개인의 이익을찾아봅시다ᆞ 나라싸움은 알아서하게 냅두고ᆢ 무역전쟁 잘풀리면 주식은 상방 열어논거고

  45. AlphaMale says:

    2002년에 중국과 2019년에 중국은 너무 다른 상황 아닌가요?

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